Poll: Trump Holds 30-Point Lead Over DeSantis in New Hampshire

Former President Donald Trump holds a 30-point lead over Florida Governor Ron DeSantis in a multi-candidate ballot in News Hampshire, according to the latest National Research Inc. survey of 500 likely New Hampshire Republican Primary voters.

Senator Tim Scott and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie are tied for third place at 8 percent each.

Governor DeSantis’ numbers have trended downward over the spring and summer, starting at 18 percent in May to 11 percent in late July. Trump has held relatively steady, clocking in at 41 percent in late July, while Scott and Christie are both within striking distance of second place. A full 15 percent of likely New Hampshire Republican Primary voters are still undecided.

Voters who are favorable toward the governor say they prefer Trump, 49 percent to 16 percent. Among voters who give both Trump and DeSantis a favorable rating, Trump leads 61 percent to 13 percent.  Among the voters who have seen recent television ads critical of Trump, the former President leads DeSantis by 34-points.

The survey also shows that Trump enjoys a 23-point advantage over DeSantis on empathy toward Republican voters and a 14-point advantage on the “best chance of beating Joe Biden.”

Trump also leads DeSantis  as the “best candidate to improve our economy (55 percent to 10 percent)” and as “the strongest candidate to oppose far-left progressives (44 percent to 19 percent).”


This National Research Inc. survey of 500 likely New Hampshire Republican Primary voters was conducted on July 25-26, 2023 with a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. The survey was commissioned by American Greatness.

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About Debra Heine

Debra Heine is a conservative Catholic mom of six and longtime political pundit. She has written for several conservative news websites over the years, including Breitbart and PJ Media.

Photo: WEST PALM BEACH, FLORIDA - JULY 15: Former President Donald Trump exits the stage after he spoke at the Turning Point Action conference as he continues his 2024 presidential campaign on July 15, 2023 in West Palm Beach, Florida. Trump spoke at the event held in the Palm Beach County Convention Center. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

Notable Replies

  1. George W. Bush led John McCain in New Hampshire’s early primary polls by similar margins. McCain went on to beat Bush handily when the votes were counted. Polls this early are nonsensical. Heine should know better.

  2. I’m just reporting on the poll, which was commissioned by American Greatness.

  3. And I for one thank you for it and not just because I like the outcome. Keep up the good work!

  4. But why commission it at all? Either AG is

    (a) unaccountably uninformed about the non-predictive value of early polling six months before any any vote is taken, or

    AG is

    (b) perfectly well aware that early samplings of voters will have zero value a few days or weeks later but couldn’t miss an opportunity to make the upcoming primaries seem a lock for Trump.

    If (b) is the answer, you have your thumb on the scale. You are ironically mimicking the MSM in becoming cultish supporting actors in the process.

    That’s all I meant.

Continue the discussion at community.amgreatness.com


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