Donald Trump leads by 4-points in North Carolina according to a new poll conducted by InsiderAdvantage for the Center for American Greatness. The poll of 450 likely voters was conducted October 30-31 by mixed IVR and live cell phone. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.6 points.
Matt Towery of InsiderAdvantage said the move towards Trump is the result of several factors: “Shift of younger voters towards Trump; Trump is gaining senior voters back into his corner; Very little female gender gap as contests reaches last days; African American vote (at 24% for Trump) is a first for this pollster of a Republican in any major race at this stage of an election. Also, the subset sample has a larger margin of error but African American VAP is only 22% (less than Georgia for example) so adjustments downward would not impact the overall numbers by much. This may be part of a trend we are seeing of African American men breaking increasingly for Trump in other states.”
Poll results are here.