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Wisconsin Headed for a Photo Finish, Hovde Charging, Per Polling

The latest American Greatness poll shows Donald Trump tied Kamala Harris in battleground Wisconsin, with both candidates at 48% in a head-to-head matchup among likely voters, in a survey conducted by TIPP Insights.

The last time TIPP polled Wisconsin for American Greatness in early October, Trump was at -3.5%, so this new poll reflects positive momentum for the 45th president.

With other candidates in the mix, among likely voters, with leaners, the race is 48% Harris, 47% Trump, and 3% for Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., who remains on the Wisconsin ballot despite RFK’s own efforts to remove his name.

In the US Senate race, Eric Hovde closes in on incumbent Senator Tammy Baldwin. Hovde is currently at -2%, within the margin of error, with Baldwin at 48% and Hovde at 46%. When TIPP polled Wisconsin, ending October 2nd, Hovde was -9%.

11% of Wisconsin voters say they are still deciding their presidential vote.

On the issues, Wisconsin voters say they were better off when Trump was president vs. now, 55-32%.

68% agree that a border wall needs to be “completed or expanded.”

Regarding Kamala Harris’s support for taxpayer-funded sex change surgeries for prisoners and migrants, 10% said it made them more likely to vote for Harris, 46% less likely, and 40% no effect.

About The Survey

TechnoMetrica conducted the American Greatness/TIPP survey from October 28 to October 30. The online study included a sample of 1,038 registered voters in Wisconsin provided by our panel partners. Using our likely voter model, we identified 831 respondents as likely voters in the November election. After the survey’s completion, TechnoMetrica weighted the dataset by gender, age, race, education, geographical region, and party affiliation to reflect known benchmarks from census, voter file data from the state, prior election results, and exit poll data. The weighted registered voter sample composition is 33% Democrats, 38% Republicans, and 26% independents. The survey’s credibility interval (CI) is ±3.5 percentage points for likely voter results, meaning the study is accurate within this range 19 times out of 20 if all registered voters in Wisconsin had been surveyed. Due to smaller sample sizes, subgroups based on gender, age, ethnicity, and region have higher credibility intervals.

Resources:

American Greatness/TIPP Poll Results

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Photo: A supporter holds a t-shirt as former US President and 2024 presidential nominee Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally with US Senator and vice presidential nominee J.D. Vance at Van Andel Arena in Grand Rapids, Michigan, on July 20, 2024. (Photo by Jim WATSON / AFP) (Photo by JIM WATSON/AFP via Getty Images)

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