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Kamala Harris’s High-Water Mark?

Despite nonstop media adoration for Kamala Harris and a Chicago DNC gathering that was, admittedly, a well-staged show of party unity, Trump’s standing in the polls remains steady. As such, this presidential race looks headed toward a photo finish into the final stretch. In a stream of credible public polling, Trump remains firmly in the 46-47% range, right where he was with Biden in the race.

Yes, Harris has improved on Biden’s numbers, but not through taking voters away from the 45th president. Two recent American Greatness/TIPP surveys make this point. Last week, before the Chicago convention, that survey of Wisconsin showed an exact tie, a 47-47% dead heat in the Badger state.

Now, a new American Greatness/TIPP poll taken during the Democratic convention shows Harris with a slight 1% lead in Michigan among likely voters. The sample of Michigan voters was 35% Democrats, 33% Republicans, and 29% independents.

I helped to direct these polls and purposefully chose Wisconsin and Michigan because I believe they are the most challenging for Trump, of the seven legitimate swing states. Therefore, they provide a solid reflection of where the race truly is for Harris, rather than the gushing media propaganda that so massively overstates her appeal.

In fact, it is reasonable to predict that Harris hits her high-water mark right now. After all, for the month since was coronated by the powerbrokers of the Democrat Party, she has been completely protected by a fawning media and only seen by voters in tightly controlled and scripted settings. In addition, the Chicago convention provided a four-night public relations campaign that was effectively sponsored by a corrupt and compliant media.

But…after all those tailwinds for Kamala, she cannot pull ahead of Donald, even in the states where she should be doing the best? Is that all you got, Dems?

Looking into the details of this latest Michigan poll provides material warnings for the very radical, even Marxist Harris/Walz ticket. For example, by a giant +22% margin, Michigan voters trust Trump more on “securing the border,” 56-34%. In a related question, by a 52-39% margin, voters there trust Trump on “improving national security.”

Turning to the economy, a stunning +35% say they were better off four years ago when Donald Trump was in the White House, a 64-29% margin. Given those spreads, no wonder the economy and immigration remain, by far, the most important two issues on battleground voters’ minds, per this survey.

Importantly, almost one-quarter of Michigan citizens (24%) say they are still making up their minds about their vote. For that large cohort, once Trump and his allies expose just how radical Harris truly is, especially on issues like the border and the economy, then the stage is set for the Kamala sugar high to dissipate and Trump to triumph in tight races in the northern swing states.

***

Steve Cortes is former senior advisor to President Donald Trump, former commentator for Fox News and CNN, and president of the League of American Workers, a populist right pro-laborer advocacy group.

 

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About Steve Cortes

Steve Cortes is the founder of the League of American Workers. He formerly served as a senior advisor to President Trump, and a broadcaster with Fox News, CNBC, and CNN.

Photo: CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - AUGUST 22: Democratic presidential candidate U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks on stage during the final day of the Democratic National Convention at the United Center on August 22, 2024 in Chicago, Illinois. Delegates, politicians, and Democratic Party supporters are gathering in Chicago, as current Vice President Kamala Harris is named her party's presidential nominee. The DNC takes place from August 19-22. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

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