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New Polling: A Slight Harris Lead in Michigan, But Issues Favor Trump

A new American Greatness/TIPP poll shows that among likely voters in Michigan, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in a near-dead heat battle, with Harris at 46%, Trump at 45%, and RFK Jr. at 5%, before his announcement to drop out of the race and endorse Trump.

In a two-person race, Kamala leads by 2%, 48-46%, within the margin of error for this survey.

24% of Michigan voters say they are still deciding, and by an 8% margin, they say that their neighbors are voting for Trump over Harris, 44-36%.

By far the most important issues are the economy and immigration. Within the economy, the most important issue is the price of food, placed in the top three issues by 54% of voters.

When asked if they were better off four years ago, 64% say yes, while 28% say they are better off now.

On “growing the economy,” voters trust Trump over Harris 49-43%. On “improving national security, they trust Trump over Harris 52-39%. On “securing the border,” they prefer Trump over Harris 56-34%.

Kamala Harris’s pro-reparations stance is unpopular with only 28% of Michigan voters supporters race-based reparations.

When asked if Harris skipped over picking Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro for vice-presidential nominee because he is Jewish, 37% agree, 35% disagree, and 28% are unsure.

About The Survey 

TechnoMetrica conducted the American Greatness/TIPP survey from August 20 to August 22. The online study included a sample of 1,001 registered voters in Michigan provided by our panel partners. Using our likely voter model, we identified 741 respondents as likely voters in the November election. After the survey’s completion, TechnoMetrica weighted the dataset by gender, age, race, education, geographical region, and party affiliation to reflect known benchmarks. The weighted registered voter sample composition is 35% Democrats, 33% Republicans, and 29% independents. The survey’s credibility interval (CI) is ±3.7 percentage points, meaning the study is accurate within this range 19 times out of 20 if all registered voters in Michigan had been surveyed. Due to smaller sample sizes, subgroups based on gender, age, ethnicity, and region have higher credibility intervals.

Resources:

American Greatness/TIPP Poll Results

 

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Photo: Howell, MI - August 20: Former president Donald Trump speaks at the Livingston County Sheriff's Office in Howell, Michigan, on Tuesday, August 20, 2024. (Photo by Sarah Rice for The Washington Post via Getty Images)

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