Brand new battleground polling reveals Trump leading a tight race in the battleground state of Pennsylvania over Kamala Harris. In the survey of 600 likely voters, using a sample that reported as +2% for Biden in 2020, Trump is now +2% for a 47-45% lead.
The survey was conducted both before and after the Biden withdrawal announcement, with one-quarter of the weighted respondent interviews occurring before Biden dropped out.
Dissatisfaction with the Biden/Harris economy remains a dominant theme, with only 15% reporting that “Bidenomics” works “very well,” and 38% saying it works “not at all.” Among young voters in Pennsylvania aged 18-34, only 6% say Bidenomics works “very well.”
Catholic voters break significantly for Trump over Kamala Harris by a +17% margin, 54-37%.
Gun owners also prefer Trump by a wide +22% margin, with Trump up 57-35%. Among sportsmen who have a hunting license, that Trump lead expands to +41%.
More than two-thirds of Pennsylvanians report that the attempted assassination attempt against Trump in that state did not have an effect on their vote. But 21% of likely voters did say that the shooting made them more likely to vote for Trump, vs. 10% who say it made them less likely.
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