New American Greatness Poll: Trump Surges in Battleground Arizona

Post-NY Verdict: Likely Voters Move Toward Trump

In a poll of 600 likely voters in Arizona, run by North Star Opinion Research, Trump leads by double digits, up 10 points in a multi-candidate field. The top three candidates are Trump at 42%, Biden at 32%, and Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. at 13%.

Trump also leads a two-man race by 6-point margin, 48-42%, with 11% undecided.

Compared to a March survey by the same firm, Trump’s lead has expanded:

March June

Head-to-head: Trump +4% Trump +6%

Multi-Candidate: Trump +4% Trump +10%

On the issues, Trump’s lead flows mostly from economic concerns of Arizonans. By an 18-point margin, they report they were better off under Trump, 54-36%. More than two-thirds of Arizonans, 69%, convey that Biden is not doing enough on inflation.

Regarding Bidenomics, 74% say it either does not work for anyone or that it only works for the wealthy. 83% say that price increases since Biden took office have affected them personally.

The double-digit lead for Trump is largely fueled by his lead among two historically Democratic groups: he leads both Hispanics and young voters aged 18-34 in the multi-candidate field.

On the US Senate race, the poll shows Ruben Gallego with a narrow 1-point lead, with a breakdown of 39% for Gallego, 38% for Kari Lake, and 9% for Green Party candidate Eduardo Quintana.

The survey was conducted June 17-20, after the announcement of the New York verdict against Trump.


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Photo: MANCHESTER, NEW HAMPSHIRE - JANUARY 20: Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump pumps his fist as he leaves the stage at the conclusion of a campaign rally at the SNHU Arena on January 20, 2024 in Manchester, New Hampshire. Trump is rallying four days before New Hampshire voters will weigh in on the Republican nominating race with their first-in-the-nation primary. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

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