New American Greatness Poll: Trump Up Big in North Carolina

Economic concerns and immigration push voters strongly toward a second Trump term

Trump leads battleground North Carolina by +8% in a head-to-head battle and +12% in a multi candidate ballot test in that state that he won by only +1.4% last time in 2020.

In a two-man race:

Trump 49%

Biden 41%

Undecided 11%

In a multi-candidate race:

Trump 44%, Biden 32%, Kennedy 9%, West 3%, Stein 2%, Undecided 8%

This poll was conducted by North Star Opinion Research  both before and after the Trump verdict announcement. The post-verdict trends in the poll did not deviate materially from the pre-verdict trends. The poll queried 600 likely voters in North Carolina that reported their 2020 choice as +2% for Trump.

Other notable poll results included a +2% lead for Mark Robinson in the North Carolina governor’s race, up 44-42% on Democratic nominee Josh Stein, with 14% undecided.

On economic issues North Carolina voters give very poor marks to Joe Biden, with only 35% reporting that “Bidenomics” works well for middle class families in North Carolina. Among the 65% who said Bidenomics does not work, 45% reported that Biden’s economic agenda works “not at all.” On inflation, 68% of North Carolina voters specifically blame Joe Biden for high food costs. In addition, only 9% of voters say that prescription prices have gone lower under Biden.

79% of North Carolinians support only allowing citizens to vote, which will likely be a referendum on the ballot there, with only 15% supporting non-citizens voting, which is already the reality in other jurisdictions for local elections. Regarding immigration, only 13% of citizens believe that immigration “makes the quality of life in North Carolina better.”

Looking at foreign policy, 69% of North Carolina voters do not want to borrow money to fund the war in Ukraine. Biden also faces challenges within his own ranks over the Israel/Gaza war. 29% of Democrats report that Biden’s actions and statement regarding Gaza make them less likely to vote for him. A super majority 70% of young voters aged 18-34 say that Gaza policy makes them less likely to vote for Biden.

Resources:

• Full poll results
• Crosstabs