Nate Silver and the Fetish of Data-Driven Journalism

"Sir, the possibility of successfully navigating an asteroid field is approximately 3,720 to 1." "Never tell me the odds!" ―C-3PO and Han Solo   Yogi Berra famously threw the fat lady off her stage in 1973 when he said, “It ain’t over till it’s over.” With the rise of and reliance upon data-driven modeling of elections and

By | 2017-02-07T21:42:02+00:00 February 7th, 2017|

Winning the War and Losing the Peace

Conservatives and Republicans tut-tutting along with Dems over what amounts to the latest excuse for why Hillary lost the election are setting themselves up for coming legislative defections and defeats. The campaign didn’t end on election night. That’s the message for America from the bipartisan uniparty headquartered in Washington, D.C.—the one that Trump

By | 2016-12-20T12:52:17+00:00 December 20th, 2016|

Believe It or Not, There’s a Silver Lining in the Electoral College Controversy

When the Electoral College meets Monday, Donald Trump will be confirmed as president without much drama and despite the threats of so-called faithless electors. They call themselves “Hamilton Electors.” “They” are a couple of dissident Republicans, Michael Baca of Colorado and Bret Chiafalo of Washington, and a D.C. public relations firm. The “electors” are a mostly theoretical

By | 2016-12-15T15:42:50+00:00 December 15th, 2016|

The Common Sense Trump-Has-Been-Elected Survival Guide

With Donald Trump's election, a growing number of websites, organizations, survival guides—and even elected officials—have issued statements of fear, stoked notions of dystopia, and promoted and threatened nullification and secession. Perhaps a different kind of survival guide is needed just now, and it could start with some adult talk and a small dose of common

By | 2016-12-12T11:25:40+00:00 December 12th, 2016|

Recovering Constitutional Dignity After the Election

Netflix's "The Crown" can teach American viewers about dignity and constitutional government. Every day since the election has brought with it a new affront to public civility. By and large, those in leadership have tried to rise to the occasion; signaling, yet again, Americans may be able to manage a peaceful transition of

By | 2016-11-23T08:28:04+00:00 November 22nd, 2016|

Protecting the Electoral College from the Progressive Assault

Progressives want to eliminate the Electoral College. They argue that the American constitutional system of electing the president unfairly advantages the votes of people in smaller states. This argument, deceptive to its core, only seems plausible because of radical changes to the Constitution imposed by the Progressives themselves. A little history should make this more

By | 2016-11-23T08:18:50+00:00 November 21st, 2016|